UPSC Mains Cut-off Poll | 2013

24madaeve

is there any separate cut off for each paper as well or there is one single cutoff value for the net marks obtained in mains exams ?

rookie

is there any separate cut off for each paper as well or there is one single cutoff value for the net marks obtained in mains exams ?

This depends on your interpretation of page 10 note 1 of 2013 notification

pessimist102

after removing repetitive, anomalous, fake, maleficent data

little more than 3 percent people absent, i.e. 500 people

segregating responses of senior players (with 2 to 4 attempts) and with good marks in last mains, we could notice -
much higher proficiency in optional papers
average marks unattempted or poorly attempted -
1 - 45, 2 - 30, 3 - 50, 4 - 30,

our analysis was made easier by the fact that average gs 1 and gs 2 marks were common.

ceterus paribus, the analysis based on their past marks and current attempt, gives us a rough idea that a good attempt of a question would fetch 45 percent marks on an average in paper 1 and 40 percent marks in paper 2, 45 percent marks in paper 3
the above result was on assumption that all papers were of equal difficulty, now assuming paper 2 was easier would give a common figure of 45 percent

poorly attempted/ left by all
paper 1 - 62
paper 2 - 48
paper 3 - 57
paper 4 - 22
optionals - less than 40 each

expected averages
paper 1 - 85
paper 2 - 91
paper 3 - 87
paper 4 - 103
optionals - 96
total - 620-650 (predicted cut-off for interview calls - 680-720) (assumption - not all above average candidates get calls, only top 17 percent)
assumption 2 - least serious 50 percent had no representation in the poll => new cutoff - 620-650

note on demographics - almost equal mix of all age groups, but most respondents were giving 1st or 2nd attempt only

anant

@woman Thanks. I found your poll to be simple and useful. While the die hard fans of statistics can always present the so called highly accurate and more representative polls, UPSC has a way of making all predictions and statistics irrelevant. So all i want from such a survey is How much are people expecting in a particular subject...or what they feel should be the good enough marks to get an interview call.
Cheers