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kejri kuch had tak theek keh rha hai....jyada seats thi...agar 2013 se barabar seats hote ..to cutoff sayad 3-4 marks increase hota plus 15 marks asaan hote hai usmein...lekin meri tarah hindi medium valo ke usmein around 8 marks aate aur English valo ke around 13...so on average 11 marks maan lo....so u can increase the cutoff by 15b marks...i.e in 2014 at same level with 2013....cutoff would have been 220...matlab 21 marks ka fall in difficult paper...lekin 2014 mein csat tha uske effect ko hataye to kariban 21 mein se 12 marks decrease kar sakte hai....so fall of 9 marks in gs based on difficulty of paper.....
lekin 2017 aur jyada khatin hai 2014 gs se to fall kariban 11-12 marks tak ka ho sakta hai... 2016 mein cutoff 116..us hisaab se 2017 mein 104... lekin 2017 mein seats kariban (1209-988=)231 kam hai....cutoff ke aas paas crowding hota hai to 231*13= kariban 3000...matlab is baar kariban 12000 hi select hoga....1 mark par 1000 to mil hi jayega....matlab 3 marks badega kam seat se.....
to hamou lagta hai 104+3 = 107 cutoff hoga.... lekin ye analysis kitna shi hai ye humou pata nhi...
lekin kya kare man nhi manta paper dekh kar(yha tak bina keys dekhe phir se paper banye aur dono compare kiye lekin marks 3-4 no se jyada nhi bada....to samj sakte hai kitna khatin paper hai ye)..aur saath valo ke no sun kar ....humra man kehta hai 100-101 hi hoga.....
lekin kya kare dil to bacha hai ji.....
2013 tk 6 questions decision making k bhi aate the jinme negative marking nhi hoti thi aur logo ko daan m 15 marks milta that.. ye silsila 2014 se hatt gya.
babua..agar khatin paper banta to vo question bhi khatin hote...ha negative mark ka point achha hai....negative mark ko consider kar 2.5 marks maan lo....lekin vo csat kar portion mein hai to uska gs mein effect kariban ek no ka hoga....107+1=108......ye to phir kejri ki range mein aaye gya phir.....
Yaar ek baat bolen cutoff ke liye dimag nahin ...right assumption and right indicators are more important than plus minus graphs..etc... Neither 2014 nor 2016 can be the right base for 2017 cutoff prediction
Why not 2014 Since that paper had CSAT and Gs so it like use ur strength either in GS or CSAT If CSAT Why not 2016 Level of paper was easy not even moderate
Therefore, these bases wont work ... Achhi baat hai appko apne dimaag pe itana atak vishwash hai...
Most of the people here feel comfortable 100-105 :..If I am not wrong ...now it depends baaki ki janta wo kis range pe hai..if the range is similar then cutoff should be near this only
Aisa nai hai kejri, abi rbi m log yhi bol re the ki log din raat apti quant solve kr re hai cutoff utna hi rhega jitna pehle tha.. competition is inc day by day and what not.... Puraa 20 no ghat gya hai cutoff..from 98 to 78... Isliye difficult paper hai to no. To ghatna hi hai irrespective of competition and other things +++++ Rbi m maatr 170 odd seats hai...logo ko lgta hai ki seats kam honge to cutoff same rhega...again a myth...
Apti ko GS se compare mat karo @king_arthur abhi to samjha kar gya tha
Kejari tu fail hai sab jagh cutoff prediction me bhi .. cutoff jaan le 100-102. Raiyta mat faila idhar.
kejri kuch had tak theek keh rha hai....jyada seats thi...agar 2013 se barabar seats hote ..to cutoff sayad 3-4 marks increase hota plus 15 marks asaan hote hai usmein...lekin meri tarah hindi medium valo ke usmein around 8 marks aate aur English valo ke around 13...so on average 11 marks maan lo....so u can increase the cutoff by 15b marks...i.e in 2014 at same level with 2013....cutoff would have been 220...matlab 21 marks ka fall in difficult paper...lekin 2014 mein csat tha uske effect ko hataye to kariban 21 mein se 12 marks decrease kar sakte hai....so fall of 9 marks in gs based on difficulty of paper.....
lekin 2017 aur jyada khatin hai 2014 gs se to fall kariban 11-12 marks tak ka ho sakta hai... 2016 mein cutoff 116..us hisaab se 2017 mein 104... lekin 2017 mein seats kariban (1209-988=)231 kam hai....cutoff ke aas paas crowding hota hai to 231*13= kariban 3000...matlab is baar kariban 12000 hi select hoga....1 mark par 1000 to mil hi jayega....matlab 3 marks badega kam seat se.....
to hamou lagta hai 104+3 = 107 cutoff hoga.... lekin ye analysis kitna shi hai ye humou pata nhi...
lekin kya kare man nhi manta paper dekh kar(yha tak bina keys dekhe phir se paper banye aur dono compare kiye lekin marks 3-4 no se jyada nhi bada....to samj sakte hai kitna khatin paper hai ye)..aur saath valo ke no sun kar ....humra man kehta hai 100-101 hi hoga.....
lekin kya kare dil to bacha hai ji.....
2013 tk 6 questions decision making k bhi aate the jinme negative marking nhi hoti thi aur logo ko daan m 15 marks milta that.. ye silsila 2014 se hatt gya.
babua..agar khatin paper banta to vo question bhi khatin hote...ha negative mark ka point achha hai....negative mark ko consider kar 2.5 marks maan lo....lekin vo csat kar portion mein hai to uska gs mein effect kariban ek no ka hoga....107+1=108......ye to phir kejri ki range mein aaye gya phir.....
Yaar ek baat bolen cutoff ke liye dimag nahin ...right assumption and right indicators are more important than plus minus graphs..etc... Neither 2014 nor 2016 can be the right base for 2017 cutoff prediction
Why not 2014 Since that paper had CSAT and Gs so it like use ur strength either in GS or CSAT If CSAT Why not 2016 Level of paper was easy not even moderate
Therefore, these bases wont work ... Achhi baat hai appko apne dimaag pe itana atak vishwash hai...
Most of the people here feel comfortable 100-105 :..If I am not wrong ...now it depends baaki ki janta wo kis range pe hai..if the range is similar then cutoff should be near this only
comfort zone mein 5-8 marks add kar lo and you will get the real cut off
kejri kuch had tak theek keh rha hai....jyada seats thi...agar 2013 se barabar seats hote ..to cutoff sayad 3-4 marks increase hota plus 15 marks asaan hote hai usmein...lekin meri tarah hindi medium valo ke usmein around 8 marks aate aur English valo ke around 13...so on average 11 marks maan lo....so u can increase the cutoff by 15b marks...i.e in 2014 at same level with 2013....cutoff would have been 220...matlab 21 marks ka fall in difficult paper...lekin 2014 mein csat tha uske effect ko hataye to kariban 21 mein se 12 marks decrease kar sakte hai....so fall of 9 marks in gs based on difficulty of paper.....
lekin 2017 aur jyada khatin hai 2014 gs se to fall kariban 11-12 marks tak ka ho sakta hai... 2016 mein cutoff 116..us hisaab se 2017 mein 104... lekin 2017 mein seats kariban (1209-988=)231 kam hai....cutoff ke aas paas crowding hota hai to 231*13= kariban 3000...matlab is baar kariban 12000 hi select hoga....1 mark par 1000 to mil hi jayega....matlab 3 marks badega kam seat se.....
to hamou lagta hai 104+3 = 107 cutoff hoga.... lekin ye analysis kitna shi hai ye humou pata nhi...
lekin kya kare man nhi manta paper dekh kar(yha tak bina keys dekhe phir se paper banye aur dono compare kiye lekin marks 3-4 no se jyada nhi bada....to samj sakte hai kitna khatin paper hai ye)..aur saath valo ke no sun kar ....humra man kehta hai 100-101 hi hoga.....
lekin kya kare dil to bacha hai ji.....
2013 tk 6 questions decision making k bhi aate the jinme negative marking nhi hoti thi aur logo ko daan m 15 marks milta that.. ye silsila 2014 se hatt gya.
babua..agar khatin paper banta to vo question bhi khatin hote...ha negative mark ka point achha hai....negative mark ko consider kar 2.5 marks maan lo....lekin vo csat kar portion mein hai to uska gs mein effect kariban ek no ka hoga....107+1=108......ye to phir kejri ki range mein aaye gya phir.....
Yaar ek baat bolen cutoff ke liye dimag nahin ...right assumption and right indicators are more important than plus minus graphs..etc... Neither 2014 nor 2016 can be the right base for 2017 cutoff prediction
Why not 2014 Since that paper had CSAT and Gs so it like use ur strength either in GS or CSAT If CSAT Why not 2016 Level of paper was easy not even moderate
Therefore, these bases wont work ... Achhi baat hai appko apne dimaag pe itana atak vishwash hai...
Most of the people here feel comfortable 100-105 :..If I am not wrong ...now it depends baaki ki janta wo kis range pe hai..if the range is similar then cutoff should be near this only
comfort zone mein 5-8 marks add kar lo and you will get the real cut off
Jhadoo lagao jisamein tumhari Expertise hain...Dilli ke station abhi tjis se saaf nahin hue ye tumhare bas ka nahin .....leave this
Log difficult level to chod ke sab angle se cutoff discuss kar rahe hai cut off...
humra analysis padho Bhai..us mein ushe bhi consider kiya hai....baaki khud samajdaar ho...plus competition ka cutoff 100% correctly to koi nhi kar sakta....rbi ka cutoff log 87 predict kar rhe the is baar ke paper mein ...nikla 78.....vaise hi upsc prelims ki analysis karke log 107 ke ass paas bol rhe...hone ko to 100 bhi ho sakta hai aur 104 bhi....
agar kismet kharab hui to 112 bhi.....
Sab analysis random and bakwas hai..paper to paper compare Karo ..and then cut off predict Kar bhisakte ho.. For me one things is certain that this paper is tougher for most than 2015 paper and 2016 was easier than 2015 paper .. To 2016 Mai jitna upward that cutoff 2015 se ..almost utna downward 2017 Mai rahega 2015 ..baki necessary corrections can come like reduced seats in 2017,2015 Mai 1 attempt Mila tha,paper 2 etc.. Some one may ask why not compare it to 2016 ..coz I believe that 2015 was mean between 2017 and 2015 .
Some people wish to thrive on anxiety of people here..sadist pleasure seek karte hai log..
khud mein sach sunn ne ki himmat nahi, doosron ko sadist bol do, last 2 years ki thread check kar lo, jisko bhi sadist bola gya, woh sahi nikla end mein
Kejari teri cutoff tere wado ki tarah farji hai.. jhadu laga apni cutoff par.. kewal ek tu hi chilgoja hai jo 108 bol raha hai ... Teri cutoff fail hogi .. tu bus rayta faila kejari
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Comments
Neither 2014 nor 2016 can be the right base for 2017 cutoff prediction
Why not 2014 Since that paper had CSAT and Gs so it like use ur strength either in GS or CSAT If CSAT
Why not 2016 Level of paper was easy not even moderate
Therefore, these bases wont work ...
Achhi baat hai appko apne dimaag pe itana atak vishwash hai...
Most of the people here feel comfortable 100-105 :..If I am not wrong ...now it depends baaki ki janta wo kis range pe hai..if the range is similar then cutoff should be near this only
ye tumhare bas ka nahin .....leave this
For me one things is certain that this paper is tougher for most than 2015 paper and 2016 was easier than 2015 paper ..
To 2016 Mai jitna upward that cutoff 2015 se ..almost utna downward 2017 Mai rahega 2015 ..baki necessary corrections can come like reduced seats in 2017,2015 Mai 1 attempt Mila tha,paper 2 etc..
Some one may ask why not compare it to 2016 ..coz I believe that 2015 was mean between 2017 and 2015
.
Let's use law of attraction and bring cut off to less than 100 by repeating it again and again....