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kejri kuch had tak theek keh rha hai....jyada seats thi...agar 2013 se barabar seats hote ..to cutoff sayad 3-4 marks increase hota plus 15 marks asaan hote hai usmein...lekin meri tarah hindi medium valo ke usmein around 8 marks aate aur English valo ke around 13...so on average 11 marks maan lo....so u can increase the cutoff by 15b marks...i.e in 2014 at same level with 2013....cutoff would have been 220...matlab 21 marks ka fall in difficult paper...lekin 2014 mein csat tha uske effect ko hataye to kariban 21 mein se 12 marks decrease kar sakte hai....so fall of 9 marks in gs based on difficulty of paper.....
lekin 2017 aur jyada khatin hai 2014 gs se to fall kariban 11-12 marks tak ka ho sakta hai... 2016 mein cutoff 116..us hisaab se 2017 mein 104... lekin 2017 mein seats kariban (1209-988=)231 kam hai....cutoff ke aas paas crowding hota hai to 231*13= kariban 3000...matlab is baar kariban 12000 hi select hoga....1 mark par 1000 to mil hi jayega....matlab 3 marks badega kam seat se.....
to hamou lagta hai 104+3 = 107 cutoff hoga.... lekin ye analysis kitna shi hai ye humou pata nhi...
lekin kya kare man nhi manta paper dekh kar(yha tak bina keys dekhe phir se paper banye aur dono compare kiye lekin marks 3-4 no se jyada nhi bada....to samj sakte hai kitna khatin paper hai ye)..aur saath valo ke no sun kar ....humra man kehta hai 100-101 hi hoga.....
lekin kya kare dil to bacha hai ji.....
2013 tk 6 questions decision making k bhi aate the jinme negative marking nhi hoti thi aur logo ko daan m 15 marks milta that.. ye silsila 2014 se hatt gya.
babua..agar khatin paper banta to vo question bhi khatin hote...ha negative mark ka point achha hai....negative mark ko consider kar 2.5 marks maan lo....lekin vo csat kar portion mein hai to uska gs mein effect kariban ek no ka hoga....107+1=108......ye to phir kejri ki range mein aaye gya phir.....
kejri kuch had tak theek keh rha hai....jyada seats thi...agar 2013 se barabar seats hote ..to cutoff sayad 3-4 marks increase hota plus 15 marks asaan hote hai usmein...lekin meri tarah hindi medium valo ke usmein around 8 marks aate aur English valo ke around 13...so on average 11 marks maan lo....so u can increase the cutoff by 15b marks...i.e in 2014 at same level with 2013....cutoff would have been 220...matlab 21 marks ka fall in difficult paper...lekin 2014 mein csat tha uske effect ko hataye to kariban 21 mein se 12 marks decrease kar sakte hai....so fall of 9 marks in gs based on difficulty of paper.....
lekin 2017 aur jyada khatin hai 2014 gs se to fall kariban 11-12 marks tak ka ho sakta hai... 2016 mein cutoff 116..us hisaab se 2017 mein 104... lekin 2017 mein seats kariban (1209-988=)231 kam hai....cutoff ke aas paas crowding hota hai to 231*13= kariban 3000...matlab is baar kariban 12000 hi select hoga....1 mark par 1000 to mil hi jayega....matlab 3 marks badega kam seat se.....
to hamou lagta hai 104+3 = 107 cutoff hoga.... lekin ye analysis kitna shi hai ye humou pata nhi...
lekin kya kare man nhi manta paper dekh kar(yha tak bina keys dekhe phir se paper banye aur dono compare kiye lekin marks 3-4 no se jyada nhi bada....to samj sakte hai kitna khatin paper hai ye)..aur saath valo ke no sun kar ....humra man kehta hai 100-101 hi hoga.....
lekin kya kare dil to bacha hai ji.....
2013 tk 6 questions decision making k bhi aate the jinme negative marking nhi hoti thi aur logo ko daan m 15 marks milta that.. ye silsila 2014 se hatt gya.
babua..agar khatin paper banta to vo question bhi khatin hote...ha negative mark ka point achha hai....negative mark ko consider kar 2.5 marks maan lo....lekin vo csat kar portion mein hai to uska gs mein effect kariban ek no ka hoga....107+1=108......ye to phir kejri ki range mein aaye gya phir.....
Bhai kuch bhi logic lagaakar +-1 karne se decide nahi hota hai cutoff. It depends on the paper. Jab bhi paper(questions ke level and sources) predictable hone lagte hain toh badhna hi hai cutoff, and jab suddenly thoda bhi change hota hai toh kafi girta hai, because of the difficulty and also because of the unpredictability(because then everyone has to perform outside their comfort zone). Double jeopardy hojata hai. Thats why I think is baar base effect kafi strong h as I predictions mein, but believe me it may dip even further than the popular predictions. I personally don't think intake jyada reduce hona, but it's only a guess at this moment.
ForumIAS test centre did not even have a single left handed chair. Had complained... the staff looked very cordial and would take immediate action hopefully..
lekin ek baat to tayy hai...
Left handers are the most thriving example of tyranny of majority
Across cultures and nations left handedness has been demonized as something unnatural,unholy...
Lakhs and lakhs of indian left handed children are forced to change their motor abilities at a very young age causing mental agony and reduced cognitive abilities...
Every year around 2,500 lefties die just because they use equipments made for right handed public...
We have been burned by churches,hounded by the Mullahs, ostracized by pandits and still produced some of the best talent world has ever seen. Left handed people have contributed disproportionately higher than their share of population.
Main bhi left hander Hun.. lekin right hand chair p bhi thoda adjust kr k smoothly likh leta hun
2013/14 s comparison hi nai...log gs m 80-90 tk m khush rehte the aur baaki csat m no. Uthaate the...last week m sb roz csat k 2-3 paper lgaate the.. E.g. Ira singhal- 76+131 like wise.. 2015 s alag hi dynamics hai...itne years hi nai hue ki koi trend nikaala ja ske..
He's only the final authority on trolling, nothing more.
babua pehle comment karne se pehle dimaag ka istemaal kar le...2017 ka paper difficult hai...2016 was easy....ushi tarah jaise 2014 was difficult and 2013 was easy....isliye 2014 as reference use kiya kyoki 2017 ka data nhi hai mere Bhai..... 2018 mein 2017 aur 2016 ka cutoff compare karke ...expected cutoff predict hoga.... hum bihari hu...angrezi thodi kachi.....lekin dimaag mein kisi se kam nhi....
Log difficult level to chod ke sab angle se cutoff discuss kar rahe hai cut off...
Difficulty matters the least, paper tough ho ya easy, bahut log 100 attempt strategy se jaate hai, bahut shaheed ho jaate hai is waja se par bahuton ki naiya bhi paar ho jaati hai, end mein it has little effect on the cut off, difficulty ke bhram mein mat jeeo
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Comments
Jab bhi paper(questions ke level and sources) predictable hone lagte hain toh badhna hi hai cutoff, and jab suddenly thoda bhi change hota hai toh kafi girta hai, because of the difficulty and also because of the unpredictability(because then everyone has to perform outside their comfort zone). Double jeopardy hojata hai.
Thats why I think is baar base effect kafi strong h as I predictions mein, but believe me it may dip even further than the popular predictions.
I personally don't think intake jyada reduce hona, but it's only a guess at this moment.
E.g. Ira singhal- 76+131 like wise..
2015 s alag hi dynamics hai...itne years hi nai hue ki koi trend nikaala ja ske..
2018 mein 2017 aur 2016 ka cutoff compare karke ...expected cutoff predict hoga....
hum bihari hu...angrezi thodi kachi.....lekin dimaag mein kisi se kam nhi....