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Let's Guess the Cutoff with some reason!

12021232526707

Comments

  • 95-98
    minus 10
    truthteller bhai , 90 tak maan sakta hu , lekin 85 to muskil hai jaana . agar 1000 seats hoti to jaa bhi sakti thi .
    Bhai truthteller Sach bolta Hai...bahut log ka score upsc key mein kam ho jayega abhi sabhi ke 100 aa rahe baad mein sabke cutoff -1 mark ho jayega
    No one knows their real score ...
    Ye no one knows their real score wala dialogue har Saal koi na koi Deta hai..

    Har Saal koi ek sbse min cut off quote krta h( 85 this year)

    Har Saal koi ek high end p cut off quote krta h Jo gaali khata h(this year 100-102)

    But agar honestly calculate Kroge to marks utne h aate h (except that gypsum episode once)

    Aur cut off almost settled hai.. it is not less than 95
    I am not as experienced as you..I do not know as much as you do

    Much to your dislike this Cutoff range by you is bullshit...
    I have written only twice therefore do not know the history what people might have predicted in 2014/14/16

    Sometimes you have to be give more weigh to reasons than exp...
    There is every reason that cutoff may not touch even 90 mark ...
    People seem to have dropped their score
    Less number of students appeared
    Very difficult paper which resulted in making silly mistakes in easy questions..and I am not the only one
    There are different answers given by different coaching means questions were not that straight forward
    Last year only 2 -3 answers were different as per different coaching keys

    Now, if your brain can not accept it then I would say your brain is wired emotionally not rationally

    Prediction can go wrong but they should be based on sound reasons and assumption not on emotions
    I may sound rude ...I am perfectly fine with that
    Haha.. dude.. I can understand your situation.. and there is no point of being rude.. there is no point of thinking of cutoff emotionally or rationally too.. so better relax.. watch till result.. and yes I am not an expert on cut off. I do not claim it also just to satisfy my ego. You can take whatever number you want. :smile:
    Yes situation is bad ... uncertainty is doing bad to me...
    Don't mind...
  • 95-98
    minus 10
    truthteller bhai , 90 tak maan sakta hu , lekin 85 to muskil hai jaana . agar 1000 seats hoti to jaa bhi sakti thi .
    Bhai truthteller Sach bolta Hai...bahut log ka score upsc key mein kam ho jayega abhi sabhi ke 100 aa rahe baad mein sabke cutoff -1 mark ho jayega
    No one knows their real score ...
    Ye no one knows their real score wala dialogue har Saal koi na koi Deta hai..

    Har Saal koi ek sbse min cut off quote krta h( 85 this year)

    Har Saal koi ek high end p cut off quote krta h Jo gaali khata h(this year 100-102)

    But agar honestly calculate Kroge to marks utne h aate h (except that gypsum episode once)

    Aur cut off almost settled hai.. it is not less than 95
    I am not as experienced as you..I do not know as much as you do

    Much to your dislike this Cutoff range by you is bullshit...
    I have written only twice therefore do not know the history what people might have predicted in 2014/14/16

    Sometimes you have to be give more weigh to reasons than exp...
    There is every reason that cutoff may not touch even 90 mark ...
    People seem to have dropped their score
    Less number of students appeared
    Very difficult paper which resulted in making silly mistakes in easy questions..and I am not the only one
    There are different answers given by different coaching means questions were not that straight forward
    Last year only 2 -3 answers were different as per different coaching keys

    Now, if your brain can not accept it then I would say your brain is wired emotionally not rationally

    Prediction can go wrong but they should be based on sound reasons and assumption not on emotions
    I may sound rude ...I am perfectly fine with that
    Haha.. dude.. I can understand your situation.. and there is no point of being rude.. there is no point of thinking of cutoff emotionally or rationally too.. so better relax.. watch till result.. and yes I am not an expert on cut off. I do not claim it also just to satisfy my ego. You can take whatever number you want. :smile:
    Yes situation is bad ... uncertainty is doing bad to me...
    Don't mind...
    Relax and study.. don't get fixated on any number.. and stop discussing prelims if it is bothering you.. it's over now and can't be changed.

    Advice from me if you like to have it.
  • 95-98
    minus 10
    truthteller bhai , 90 tak maan sakta hu , lekin 85 to muskil hai jaana . agar 1000 seats hoti to jaa bhi sakti thi .
    85 approx bola hai maine...to 87/88 tak leverage milni chahiye mujhe..but yes 90 touch nahi hoga
    DBKGKAH :trollface:
    ye kya hai :smiley:
    Socho :trollface: Kaafi popular hai forum pe :mrgreen:
    hahaha

    dil bahalane ka khayal achha hai galibh
    It's proper form is 'Dil Behlaane ke liye ye khyaal bhi achchaa hai Ghaalib'. So, DBKLYKBAHG... :smiley:
  • 95-98
    minus 10
    truthteller bhai , 90 tak maan sakta hu , lekin 85 to muskil hai jaana . agar 1000 seats hoti to jaa bhi sakti thi .
    Bhai truthteller Sach bolta Hai...bahut log ka score upsc key mein kam ho jayega abhi sabhi ke 100 aa rahe baad mein sabke cutoff -1 mark ho jayega
    No one knows their real score ...
    Ye no one knows their real score wala dialogue har Saal koi na koi Deta hai..

    Har Saal koi ek sbse min cut off quote krta h( 85 this year)

    Har Saal koi ek high end p cut off quote krta h Jo gaali khata h(this year 100-102)

    But agar honestly calculate Kroge to marks utne h aate h (except that gypsum episode once)

    Aur cut off almost settled hai.. it is not less than 95
    I am not as experienced as you..I do not know as much as you do

    Much to your dislike this Cutoff range by you is bullshit...
    I have written only twice therefore do not know the history what people might have predicted in 2014/14/16

    Sometimes you have to be give more weigh to reasons than exp...
    There is every reason that cutoff may not touch even 90 mark ...
    People seem to have dropped their score
    Less number of students appeared
    Very difficult paper which resulted in making silly mistakes in easy questions..and I am not the only one
    There are different answers given by different coaching means questions were not that straight forward
    Last year only 2 -3 answers were different as per different coaching keys

    Now, if your brain can not accept it then I would say your brain is wired emotionally not rationally

    Prediction can go wrong but they should be based on sound reasons and assumption not on emotions
    I may sound rude ...I am perfectly fine with that
    Haha.. dude.. I can understand your situation.. and there is no point of being rude.. there is no point of thinking of cutoff emotionally or rationally too.. so better relax.. watch till result.. and yes I am not an expert on cut off. I do not claim it also just to satisfy my ego. You can take whatever number you want. :smile:
    Yes situation is bad ... uncertainty is doing bad to me...
    Don't mind...
    Relax and study.. don't get fixated on any number.. and stop discussing prelims if it is bothering you.. it's over now and can't be changed.

    Advice from me if you like to have it.
    Do you suggest going All in at 98 marks (minimum taking aral, liberty, gst wrong)
  • edited June 2018
    marks to hardly majority achhi junta ke 100 cros kar rahe

    par cut off sab 95 expect kar rahe hain

    what an irony

    logon ko ya to khud pe confidence nahi ya darr k mare khud ko safe nahi samajh paa rahe

    ise kehe hain "past effect " matlab past me 100 plus raha hai to is baar below 90 kaise hoga...what an illogical logic...past data k chakkar me present data ko ignore kar rahe log

    on an avg previously selected junta ke 20-25 marks kam huye hain as compared to last year..to cut off bhi itne marks se fall hona is quite logical..

    maano ya na maano

    aur jo log clustering ya clubbing ki baat kar rahe wo aadhi adhoori baat kar rahe

    95 k aas paas clustering unki hai jo last year 120 130 140 pe the...masses ki clubbing nahi hai..masses to wahi marks public me bolti hai jo coaching wale cut off batate hain..ye har saal ki baat hai...
  • marks to hardly majority achhi junta ke 100 cros kar rahe

    par cut off sab 95 expect kar rahe hain

    what an irony

    logon ko ya to khud pe confidence nahi ya darr k mare khud ko safe nahi samajh paa rahe

    ise kehe hain "past effect " matlab past me 100 plus raha hai to is baar below 90 kaise hoga...what an illogical logic...past data k chakkar me present data ko ignore kar rahe log

    on an avg previously selected junta ke 20-25 marks kam huye hain as compared to last year..to cut off bhi itne marks se fall hona is quite logical..

    maano ya na maano

    aur jo log clustering ya clubbing ki baat kar rahe wo aadhi adhoori baat kar rahe

    95 k aas paas clustering unki hai jo last year 120 130 140 pe the...masses ki clubbing nahi hai..masses to wahi marks public me bolti hai jo coaching wale cut off batate hain..ye har saal ki baat hai...
    Gud one....no one want to fail so clubbing to krenge hi even though they are not scoring well
  • marks to hardly majority achhi junta ke 100 cros kar rahe

    par cut off sab 95 expect kar rahe hain

    what an irony

    logon ko ya to khud pe confidence nahi ya darr k mare khud ko safe nahi samajh paa rahe

    ise kehe hain "past effect " matlab past me 100 plus raha hai to is baar below 90 kaise hoga...what an illogical logic...past data k chakkar me present data ko ignore kar rahe log

    on an avg previously selected junta ke 20-25 marks kam huye hain as compared to last year..to cut off bhi itne marks se fall hona is quite logical..

    maano ya na maano

    aur jo log clustering ya clubbing ki baat kar rahe wo aadhi adhoori baat kar rahe

    95 k aas paas clustering unki hai jo last year 120 130 140 pe the...masses ki clubbing nahi hai..masses to wahi marks public me bolti hai jo coaching wale cut off batate hain..ye har saal ki baat hai...
    jahan 8-10 questions main dispute ho , aur every suggests a different answer , wahan koi apne exact marks kaise calculate kar sakta hai . but the real truth encountered this time is , people scoring even more than 110 are rare . in clear ias poll top 1 percentile scoring only 108 . aur har saal isse 3-4 number kam rehti hai ifos ki cutoff unke poll ke according . ans people are forgetting that there always a range of marks which people get . it is not possible that 3000 people will get 95 marks (it is a challenge in this ppr ) .
    so last yr top 1 percentile was at 126 , cut off was 105 , a range of 21 marks .
    so this year top 1 percentile is at 108 , a range of 21 marks will give cutoff at 87 marks . taking into account less seats add 5 marks , so cutoff at 92 marks , not more than that .
  • Coaching teachers saying cutoff at 100+/-2 for UR.
    They are mainly citing the 'low number of seats' argument.
    Coaching teachers jalte hai.. kyuki unka ek samay pe nhi hua hota hai. Last time bhi vajiram wale maharathiya 112 bol rahe they.. unke predicted cutoff se 7 marks minus kardo.. Wahi hoga.. :mrgreen:
  • marks to hardly majority achhi junta ke 100 cros kar rahe

    par cut off sab 95 expect kar rahe hain

    what an irony

    logon ko ya to khud pe confidence nahi ya darr k mare khud ko safe nahi samajh paa rahe

    ise kehe hain "past effect " matlab past me 100 plus raha hai to is baar below 90 kaise hoga...what an illogical logic...past data k chakkar me present data ko ignore kar rahe log

    on an avg previously selected junta ke 20-25 marks kam huye hain as compared to last year..to cut off bhi itne marks se fall hona is quite logical..

    maano ya na maano

    aur jo log clustering ya clubbing ki baat kar rahe wo aadhi adhoori baat kar rahe

    95 k aas paas clustering unki hai jo last year 120 130 140 pe the...masses ki clubbing nahi hai..masses to wahi marks public me bolti hai jo coaching wale cut off batate hain..ye har saal ki baat hai...
    jahan 8-10 questions main dispute ho , aur every suggests a different answer , wahan koi apne exact marks kaise calculate kar sakta hai . but the real truth encountered this time is , people scoring even more than 110 are rare . in clear ias poll top 1 percentile scoring only 108 . aur har saal isse 3-4 number kam rehti hai ifos ki cutoff unke poll ke according . ans people are forgetting that there always a range of marks which people get . it is not possible that 3000 people will get 95 marks (it is a challenge in this ppr ) .
    so last yr top 1 percentile was at 126 , cut off was 105 , a range of 21 marks .
    so this year top 1 percentile is at 108 , a range of 21 marks will give cutoff at 87 marks . taking into account less seats add 5 marks , so cutoff at 92 marks , not more than that .
    Agreed your analysis clear ias poll is likely very close to cut off since last three year this year at sitchu it shows that cut off hovering around 92 to 94
  • Coaching teachers saying cutoff at 100+/-2 for UR.
    They are mainly citing the 'low number of seats' argument.
    Coaching teachers jalte hai.. kyuki unka ek samay pe nhi hua hota hai. Last time bhi vajiram wale maharathiya 112 bol rahe they.. unke predicted cutoff se 7 marks minus kardo.. Wahi hoga.. :mrgreen:
    wo vajiram main ek sardaar hai , usne 2016 main logon se bol diya tha , ki jiske 130 nhi aa rahe , wo next yr ki pre ki tyari karen . uski life ke parameters hi alag hain :D
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